Analysis

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Utah 3: Not So fast, Congressman Tancredo!

Congressman Chris Cannon, Republican of Utah’s 3rd District, was staggered, but he didn’t go down for the count. Instead, it was businessman John Jacob, whose anti-immigration campaign was backed by Colorado GOP Congressman Tom Tancredo, who was knocked out by Republican primary voters on June 27. Cannon must be getting used to primary challenges. Two […]

Presidential Races Taking on Chess Match Quality

As in chess, where a competitor decides what to do based on his or her opponent’s moves, Republican and Democratic primary voters and caucus attendees are likely to spend as much time in 2007 and early 2008 watching their opponents as thinking about their own choices. Since both parties are placing an unusually high priority […]

New Print Edition: Maryland Senate & Vermont At-Large

The new June 30, 2006 print edition of the Rothenberg Political Report is on its way to subscribers. (Click here for subscription information.) Maryland Senate: Race MattersBy Nathan L. Gonzales If national Republicans are looking at reliably Democratic Maryland for one of their best Senate takeover opportunities, you can bet that the national landscape is […]

Who Created the Phony Al Gore Boomlet?

I’m just now recovering from the most recent frenzy about a possible Al Gore presidential bid in 2008, and I’m hopeful that we’ll still have another few months before we get our next “Is Al Gore changing his mind and running for president in 2008?” boomlet. But another round of Gore presidential speculation is about […]

Connecticut Senate: Lieberman Faces Serious Test From Lamont

National Democratic insiders aren’t pulling many punches when it comes to Sen. Joe Lieberman’s (D-CT) primary in Connecticut against businessman Ned Lamont. They are saying that Lieberman could lose. The senator is having considerable problems with older white men, and his allies are counting on strong support in the minority community and from women to […]

Montana Senate: Is Conrad Burns Headed for Defeat This Fall?

Once burned, twice shy: That’s simply another way of saying that I’m more cautious about handicapping the Montana Senate race than I am other Senate contests. Just days before the 2000 elections, my newsletter moved GOP Sen. Conrad Burns from “Toss-up” to “Lean Takeover.” That rating change was based on information I had gathered about […]

Michigan Governor: Falling Star- What Ever Happened to Jennifer Granholm?

If only Canadian-born Michigan Gov. Jennifer Granholm (D) had been born in the United States, many state and national political commentators said a couple of years ago, she might well have become the Democratic nominee for vice president in 2008 or the party’s White House candidate in 2012. More than a few observers cited Granholm […]

Webb Victory Poses Dilemma for Warner

Former Secretary of the Navy James Webb (D) won the Democratic nomination in Virginia and will take on Sen. George Allen (R-VA) in the general election. But former Gov. Mark Warner (D) may have a tough decision to make in the coming months. Webb rode to victory on the backs of Democratic voters in Northern […]

Bill Richardson: Looking Like a Go for 2008

Officially, New Mexico Gov. Bill Richardson (D) is focused on his November re-election race, even though it’s expected to be relatively easy. And as chairman of the Democratic Governors Association, Richardson also hopes to lead his party to a gain of at least a few more governorships. But some Democratic insiders insist that Richardson has […]

New Print Edition: Missouri Senate, Connecticut 5, & Governors Ratings

The new June 16, 2006 print edition of the Rothenberg Political Report is on its way to subscribers. (Click here for subscription information.) Missouri Senate: Guilt By Association?By Nathan L. Gonzales If you look up “bellwether” in the dictionary, you might see the state of Missouri in the definition. The Show Me State has received […]