Here are some excerpts from the new November 2 print edition of The Rothenberg Political Report. (To subscribe, click here.) The Senate: “While Senate control is in doubt, with Democrats most likely to win from 5 to 7 seats, we do not think the two sides have an equal chance of winning a majority in […]
The Rothenberg Political Report is changing its call on three legislative chambers: the New Hampshire Senate and the Michigan House and Senate. All three are held by the Republicans, and while all three will continue to lean to the GOP, there is now a real possibility that some or all of them could be taken […]
The new November 2, 2006 print edition of the Rothenberg Political Report is on its way to subscribers. The new ratings are available online, but for the full explanation and analysis, you must subscribe to the print edition. This is our final print edition before the election. Stay tuned to the website for late breaking […]
The new November 2, 2006 print edition of the Rothenberg Political Report is on its way to subscribers. The new ratings are available online, but for the full explanation and analysis, you must subscribe to the print edition. This is our final print edition before the election. Stay tuned to the website for late breaking […]
While all of us following this year’s midterms are spending most of our time talking about the GOP’s “base” problems and speculating about whether conservatives and evangelicals will stay home next month, we are missing a story that could turn out to be as big, or even bigger: independents. Of course, fewer Americans vote in […]
Here are some polls on statewide ballot measures that were released too late to be included in the Rothenberg Political Report‘s original ballot measure rundown. Of special note are one poll which shows Arizona’s same-sex marriage ban trailing badly (though another poll has it comfortably ahead); a second recent survey in blue-state Oregon that has […]
Two factors have come together to enhance Democratic prospects for a major House sweep — and neither one has much to do with the quality of Democratic recruiting in the two dozen or so top-tier Democratic House opportunities. First, a handful of Republican House nominees with considerable political baggage have created competitive races for Democrats […]
The new October 27, 2006 print edition of the Rothenberg Political Report is on its way to subscribers. The new ratings are available online, but for the full explanation and analysis, you must subscribe to the print edition. House RatingsSenate RatingsGubernatorial Ratings
With only a couple of weeks until Election Day, we know there will be a Democratic wave on Nov. 7. And we can be fairly certain that by historical standards it will be high – possibly very high. But we still don’t know how many Republicans once considered safe will be swept out of office. […]