Analysis

4240 Results

Obama’s Electoral College Outlook Depends on His Opponent

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Wisconsin 7: Duffy’s Defense

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Illinois 11: DisMemberment Plan

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Hawaii Senate: Lingle Makes Race More Competitive

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West Virginia Senate: Manchin Moved to Safer Rating

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For Some GOPers, It’s Still Anyone but Mitt Romney

For former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney, the GOP presidential campaign is looking like a simple matter of survival. With a substantial chunk of the Republican Party appearing unenthusiastic about embracing him, Romney now finds himself in the position of having to “hang around” in the GOP race while conservatives flirt with a series of alternatives. […]

Why Is There So Much Mud in South Carolina?

When South Carolina state Rep. Thad Viers (R) came in for an interview recently, I wasn’t sure what to expect. I knew that he was a successful, young officeholder who surely was one of the favorites to win in the Palmetto State’s new Congressional district. I knew that he was quite conservative. I also knew […]

This Is Not Your Father’s Democratic Party

For anyone old enough to remember Bucky Dent’s memorable home run in the 1978 Yankees-Red Sox playoff, the current makeup and political strategy of the Democratic Party has to seem very odd. No, this isn’t your grandfather’s (or even your father’s) Democratic Party, and while that was an asset in 2006 and 2008, it very […]

2012 House Overview (October 7, 2011)

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Electoral Vote Advantage Goes to Mitt Romney

While national public opinion polls are fun to examine, the real action for handicappers, of course, is in the Electoral College. But “generic” electoral vote projections are only of limited value because elections are ultimately about the candidates. GOP Reps. Michele Bachmann (Minn.) and Ron Paul (Texas), for example, don’t have the same chance of […]