On paper, the Arizona special election should be, and likely is, razor tight. But good luck finding another special election with such unique circumstances as the vote to succeed former Rep. Gabrielle Giffords, who resigned in January after she was shot at a constituent event a year earlier. Going into next Tuesday’s vote, observers from […]
The 2012 presidential election looks like it could well be another squeaker, and if it is, a number of possible outcomes could produce national hand-wringing, finger-pointing, complaints of unfairness and anger, further dividing Americans and undermining confidence in our political system. A dozen years ago, Democrat Al Gore drew 540,000 votes more than Republican George […]
Just one election wasn’t enough for primary voters in Texas on Tuesday night, so many crowded primaries are headed for a July 31 runoff. But one candidate who won’t get a second chance in extra innings is Rep. Silvestre Reyes (D), who fell to former El Paso city representative Beto O’Rourke. O’Rourke, 39, defeated the […]
Some races are easy to handicap. Two essentially evenly matched candidates in a competitive state normally produces a tossup rating, while a popular entrenched incumbent against an under-funded, unknown challenger almost always produces something close to a safe contest for the incumbent. But the Senate race in Ohio is more complicated. It’s certainly a competitive […]