The National Rifle Association has an opportunity to claim the mantle of public support in the gun control debate, and it would cost the group only a few thousand dollars in a meaningless race in Missouri to do it. State House Speaker Pro Tem Jason Smith (R) is heavily favored to win the June 4 […]
Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee Chairman Steve Israel began calling prospective Democratic candidates for 2014 on Election Night 2012, but many Republican strategists have been encouraging their potential recruits to keep their powder dry. House strategists on both sides of the aisle are implementing two very different strategies this cycle when it comes to candidate recruitment, […]
It’s looking as if we may see more than a dozen House race rematches in 2014. While some of them are likely to have the same outcomes as in 2012, others could easily flip party control. Here is my initial list of potential rematch flips, with the first contests listed more likely to flip and […]
Rep. John Barrow (D) announced on Tuesday that he would not run for the U.S. Senate in Georgia and he will likely seek re-election to his House seat. His decision dramatically improved Democratic chances of holding the 12th District, which leans Republican, by the numbers. Without him, it would have been almost a sure Republican […]
Former Gov. Mark Sanford disappointed both parties by winning the special election in South Carolina’s 1st District and keeping the seat in Republican hands. It looks like national GOP strategists played the special election just right for once, and it wasn’t because they held the seat. With the National Republican Congressional Committee remaining on the […]
With the special election in South Carolina just one day away, both Republicans and Democrats are unsure of the outcome. Former Palmetto State Gov. Mark Sanford, a Republican, began with a narrow advantage over Democrat Elizabeth Colbert Busch, but even Republicans pulling for Sanford believe that he has failed to run the strong race he […]
Sean Trende of RealClearPolitics.com joins the growing chorus of political handicappers who have been arguing that we aren’t likely to see a partisan wave next cycle. Trende’s analysis, which also addresses the “six-year itch,” is spot on (as it usually is). There is no evidence right now that Republicans are headed for large gains in […]