Analysis

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Colorado 6: But How Will It Play in Aurora?

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Kentucky Senate: Process of Elimination

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Maine 2: Michaud’s Exit Creates Potential GOP Opportunity

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Montana Senate: Democrats Start From Scratch

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Illinois 17: Schilling’s Entry Improves GOP Chances

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Texas Governor: Perry Retiring, Abbott is Likely Successor

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Montana Senate Rating: Move or Reaffirm?

Since Sen. Max Baucus, D-Mont., announced he would not seek re-election in late April, we have rated the Montana Senate race as a Pure Tossup — a reflection of our uncertainty about the Democratic candidacy of former Gov. Brian Schweitzer. Yes, Schweitzer has always seemed ambitious. And yes, he has never passed up an opportunity […]

Despite Primary, Rounds Remains Favorite in South Dakota

State Sen. Larry Rhoden’s formal entry into the South Dakota GOP Senate race doesn’t fundamentally change the Republican contest. Former Gov. Mike Rounds remains the party’s favorite for the nomination and for the general election. Some conservatives are still looking for an alternative to Rounds, whom they regard as insufficiently conservative. But Rhoden, who comes […]

Gay Couples Could Face Different Campaign Money Rules Across States

In the wake of the Supreme Court’s decision to strike down the Defense of Marriage Act, gay candidates and their spouses could face different campaign finance guidelines depending on their state. Earlier this month, the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee sent an advisory opinion request to the Federal Election Commission asking that married same-sex couples and […]

Rating Alison Lundergan Grimes’ Chances in Kentucky

Does the candidacy of Kentucky Democrat Alison Lundergan Grimes, who is challenging Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell, change McConnell’s re-election prospects? The answer depends on whether you think she will be 2014’s version of Linda Lingle or Heidi Heitkamp. Lingle, a former two-term Republican governor of Hawaii, was unable to overcome her partisan label in […]