Analysis

4240 Results

10 Things Losing Candidates Say

It’s August of an odd-numbered year, but the 2014 cycle is heating up. That means dozens of candidates are visiting us at The Rothenberg Political Report in anticipation of the midterm elections. Some of them will win, but most will lose. So we’ve started taking notes on some sure-fire ways that candidates end up in […]

North Carolina Senate: Blue Like Hagan

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Alabama 1 Special: Republican Tide Rolls On

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Louisiana 5 Special: Republican Dynasty

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Illinois Governor: Madigan’s Decision Decreases Democratic Chances

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3 Key Factors Each Party Is Banking On for a Senate Majority

The Senate playing field is starting to solidify, and the fight for the majority looks like it will be decided in about a dozen states. But even though the fields of candidates are still taking shape in some of those contests, both Republicans and Democrats are banking on some macro-factors that will affect races at […]

A Final Comment on Twitter and Election Forecasting

I shouldn’t be disappointed with MSNBC’s “Daily Rundown,” one of the few reasonable political shows not airing on Sunday morning. But the show did a segment with Indiana University sociologist Fabio Rojas, who recently wrote a Washington Post opinion piece on how Twitter can predict an election. Instead of featuring Rojas alone, substitute host Chris […]

Twitter Can’t Yet Predict Elections

The folks over at the Washington Post must have needed copy desperately for Monday’s opinion page if they were willing to publish a piece titled, “How Twitter can help predict an election.” In the column, Indiana University Sociologist Fabio Rojas asserts: “Twitter discussions are an unusually good predictor of U.S. House elections.” He and his […]

No, Really: It’s Still Too Early to Judge Senate Races

“The GOP needs to gain three or four seats to win control (depending on which party controls the White House), and already five Democratic-held Senate seats are no better than toss-ups. The Democratic outlook would improve markedly if the party could swipe a couple of Republican seats next year, but with only 10 GOP Senate […]

Four Lessons from Amelia Bedelia’s Failed Run for Mayor

Amelia Bedelia could hardly hold down a housekeeping job, but that didn’t stop her from running for mayor. Anybody with small kids or grandchildren is familiar with Amelia Bedelia — the well-intentioned nanny whose literal take on life gets her into plenty of trouble. But after her pun-filled adventures in the eponymous children’s classic, she […]