Analysis

4242 Results

Open Your Mind to the Possibility of Another Midterm Mess for Democrats

Democrats might want to consider opening their minds to the potential of another midterm nightmare. I remember dozens of conversations with GOP candidates and strategists prior to the 2012 elections. Republicans simply couldn’t wrap their minds around the possibility that 2008 could ever be repeated. That failure in comprehension contributed to inaccurate polling and wrong […]

Florida 13 Special: Democrats Throw Sink at Young’s Open Seat

Want the full story? Sign up now to read the full story and get access to all posts for paying subscribers only. Sign Up Login

Arizona 1: Kirkpatrick Shoots for Re-elect, Not Repeat

Want the full story? Sign up now to read the full story and get access to all posts for paying subscribers only. Sign Up Login

RPR Report Shorts (Florida 19, Louisiana 5, New York 24, West Virginia 2)

Want the full story? Sign up now to read the full story and get access to all posts for paying subscribers only. Sign Up Login

Republicans at Risk of Losing West Virginia’s 2nd District

Democrats recruited West Virginia State Auditor Glen Gainer to run in the 1st District in the aftermath of the government shutdown. But the party’s best opportunity in the state might be in the 2nd District, with a candidate that some national strategists were wary of earlier this year. Barack Obama received just 44 percent of […]

The Most Divided House District in New York

Last month I wrote about a handful of interesting Democratic House candidates I had recently interviewed, but I did not include Martha Robertson, who is challenging GOP Rep. Tom Reed in New York’s 23rd District. Most of those Democrats either had no record or seemed prepared to run as pragmatists. And while Robertson also offered […]

23 of 25 Vulnerable Democrats Vote in Favor of Upton Bill

Virtually every House Democrat listed as vulnerable by The Rothenberg Political Report voted for Republican Michigan Rep. Fred Upton’s Keep Your Health Plan Act. Two vulnerable Democrats voted against the bill: Ann Kirkpatrick of Arizona and John F. Tierney of Massachusetts. Overall, 39 Democrats joined with the vast majority of Republicans in order to pass […]

A Critical Few Weeks for Democrats? It Could Get Worse

No wonder some Democratic strategists are nervous about the next few weeks. President Barack Obama’s job approval numbers have taken a dive in two recent polls, and party insiders fear that every other poll released in the foreseeable future will show that the rollout of the president’s health care law has been anything but a […]

Why Most Postmortems of Virginia’s Gubernatorial Race Are Wrong

The dust has settled (mostly) from last week’s elections, so I thought it time to present a very different assessment of what happened in Virginia than the snapshot I’ve seen from others. For example, Democracy Corps and Women’s Voices, Women Vote Action Fund distributed a wholly self-serving and unconvincing memo titled “Unmarried Women Cast Deciding […]

For Some Candidates, Home Is Where the Opportunity Is

We all know that candidates and members don’t have to live in a House district in order to run or even represent that area. And I’ve written about a number of top-tier Democratic hopefuls this cycle who don’t live in the district where they are campaigning. But there is a new category of candidate emerging […]