Analysis

4242 Results

Rogers’ Retirement Makes Michigan 8 More Competitive

These Republican retirements must be driving Democratic strategists crazy. Some tantalizing districts have come open as formidable Republican incumbents have announced their retirements, but the midterm election environment is turning out to be very tough terrain for Democrats. And that makes it difficult for Democrats to take over those districts, which they certainly would have […]

Democrats’ Growing Problems With Independent Voters on the Senate Map

While the nation’s (and news media’s) focus on Malaysian Airlines flight 370 gave Democrats a couple of weeks to catch their collective breath, the 2014 election cycle continues to look increasingly dangerous for President Barack Obama and his party. The most recent NBC News/Wall Street Journal (March 5-9) and CBS News/New York Times (Feb. 19-23) […]

Memo to Democrats: Running Toward Barack Obama Might Work

Should vulnerable Democratic incumbents in Republican-leaning districts run from President Barack Obama? The Washington Post’s Chris Cillizza did a good job of explaining the futility of the strategy in his Tuesday post, “Memo to Democrats: Running from Barack Obama Won’t Work.” There is an alternative, though in all likelihood few Democrats running in swing states […]

Colorado Senate Race Firmly on Senate Battlefield

Colorado Democratic Sen. Mark Udall never had intimidating poll numbers this cycle, but uncertainty about the GOP primary raised questions about the seriousness of the Republican threat to him. But all that changed when Republican Rep. Cory Gardner decided to run for the Senate in Colorado. His decision instantly gave Republicans a top-tier candidate in […]

Another Cycle, Another Poll Memo About Florida’s 2nd District

Democratic memos about the party’s optimistic prospects in Florida’s 2nd district never die. They simply fade away until the next election cycle, when a new one miraculously surfaces. This cycle, the memo is from Anzalone Liszt Grove Research, and it insists that the Democratic nominee for Congress, Gwen Graham, is “uniquely positioned” to oust Republican […]

Road Gets Tougher for Democratic Majority in the Senate

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2014 Senate Overview (March 14, 2014) Alabama – Kansas

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2014 Senate Overview (March 14, 2014) Kentucky – New Mexico

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2014 Senate Overview (March 14, 2014) North Carolina – Wyoming

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Jolly Wins Special, Florida’s 13th Starts as Lean Republican for Midterm

Republican David Jolly eked out a narrow win over Democrat Alex Sink to keep the late congressman Bill Young’s seat in the GOP column. Polls had shown the race close, but most observers expected Sink, who lost the governor’s race narrowly in 2010, to defeat Jolly by two or three percentage points. A former Capitol […]