It can feel like the 2014 congressional races have been going on forever, so when a campaign strategist talks about “Week One,” it can be confusing that Week One is still actually four months away. Obtaining and understanding television ad buys is becoming an increasingly important part of analyzing House and Senate races. And deciphering […]
More than a year ago, I called Sen. Mark Pryor, D-Ark., this cycle’s most vulnerable senator. That hasn’t changed. The longer I do this, the more transparent I try to be about my thinking about each race. So, this column sets out my view of the Arkansas Senate race, which has been different from the […]
The Michelle Obama for Senate in 2016 stories are classic examples of an out-of-control media narrative that is based on little hard evidence. But it may also end up being a lesson on why it’s best not to dismiss rampant speculation. The rumor that the first lady could run for the Senate in Illinois next […]
President Barack Obama made a fresh case for student loan overhaul with an executive order this week, but he also relayed a much more nuanced version of his own college debt experience. Over the last couple of years, Obama used his college debt as a compelling anecdote to connect with younger voters and to restructure […]
House Majority Leader Eric Cantor lost his primary in convincing fashion, but there appears to be two separate questions: How did he lose? And why was it a surprise? One thing that everyone should be able to agree on is that Cantor’s loss was historic. According to Roll Call’s research, he is the first majority […]