Analysis

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Jeb Bush Can’t Be Nominated. Or Can He?

There are plenty of reasons to believe Jeb Bush, the former two-term governor of Florida, son of a former president and brother of another former president, cannot win the 2016 Republican nomination. The problem for those of us who report on and analyze elections dispassionately is there are also plenty of reasons why Bush can […]

Democrats Start With Narrow Advantage in Nevada Open Seat

Senate Minority Leader Harry Reid’s retirement ensures that Nevada will host a top-tier Senate race in 2016. Reid’s announcement doesn’t expand the map for Republicans, since the Democrat was vulnerable if he had sought re-election to a sixth term. But the open seat is likely to be an expensive and competitive race until the end.  […]

It’s Early: Why Pundits Shouldn’t Overreact

The reviews are in after the first game of spring training: Hillary Rodham Clinton struck out. Or at best, she hit a slow roller to second base and was thrown out by a mile. She’s toast. It’s over for her. She has handled the email controversy like an amateur. The former secretary of State is […]

Lopach Leads March Toward Democratic Senate Majority

Smoke billowed out of Ted Kennedy’s living room fireplace as donors gathered in his D.C. home for a fundraiser, though the legendary senator was still on the Hill for votes. But that wasn’t too much for Tom Lopach. “I don’t know anyone, my house is on fire and my husband is gone,” Vicki Kennedy, the […]

Schilling Considering Special Election for Schock Seat

Former Illinois Rep. Bobby Schilling hasn’t closed the door on running in the special election to replace embattled Republican Rep. Aaron Schock, according to a knowledgeable GOP source. State Sen. Darin LaHood of Peoria is the early front-runner in the forthcoming Republican primary, but Schilling represented part of Illinois’ 18th District during his time in […]

Indiana Senate Race Moves Out of Safe

GOP Sen. Dan Coats’ retirement creates a takeover opportunity in Indiana next year. But Democrats will likely need some breaks to move the race from a potential gain to a top tier contest. Coats would have started the race as a clear favorite for re-election, but now that he is retiring, his open seat could […]

Why Primaries Aren’t All Bad

Primaries can be expensive and divisive, but treating them like the plague — as party spokesmen are prone to do early every cycle — distorts electoral reality. GOP strategists looking to hold the party’s newly attained majority are reveling in the potentially crowded field of Democrats for the open seat in Maryland. Setting aside the […]

Illinois 18: Who Will Replace Aaron Schock?

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Looking for Retirements in All the Wrong Places

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Iowa 1: Freshman in the City

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