Analysis

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Report Shorts (October 1, 2015)

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Does Voter Anger Explain the Success of Presidential Outsiders?

Those of us who report on and analyze politics for a living have been talking ad nauseam about voters’ frustration and anger. It’s the hot topic that presumably explains Donald Trump, Ben Carson and Bernard Sanders, as well as the problems that political veterans such as Hillary Rodham Clinton and Jeb Bush have encountered. But […]

Young, Ambitious and Wealthy Isn’t Enough in Arkansas

Former U.S. Attorney Conner Eldridge announced on Sept. 9 he will seek the Arkansas Democratic Senate nomination and the right to challenge incumbent Republican Sen. John Boozman in 2016. Writing in the Arkansas Times before Eldridge entered the race, veteran political journalist Max Brantley observed the Democrat would be “a sparkling candidate in a long […]

Indiana Reps Still Wrestling With Residency

For some members of Congress with young families, getting elected is the easy part; deciding whether to move your family to Washington is more difficult. Members of the Indiana delegation have been wrestling with the decision for decades, in a state where residency consistently pops up as a campaign issue. The current Hoosier State delegation […]

Florida Senate: Too Big to Fail

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Presidential Battleground Spotlight: Florida

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Report Shorts (September 18, 2015)

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Post-CNN Debate Thoughts

Given there are still four and one-half months until the Iowa caucuses, why would any Iowa Republican make a final decision right now about which candidate he or she will support? Yet that didn’t stop CNN from treating Wednesday night’s GOP debate at the Reagan Library as the Super Bowl, with a countdown clock and […]

And the News Gets Worse for Clinton

Compared to the Republican race for president, the Democratic contest looks almost normal. Yes, Hillary Rodham Clinton’s poll numbers have plummeted so far and so fast that she trails an avowed socialist in Iowa and New Hampshire polls, and she looks so damaged that Vice President Joseph R. Biden Jr. has been encouraged to consider […]

No Rating Change After Benishek’s Retirement in Michigan

Democrats need Republican incumbents to retire from competitive districts in order to expand the playing field of competitive House races. But GOP Rep. Dan Benishek’s decision not to run for re-election in Michigan barely moves the status quo of the House battlefield. Benishek was already considered vulnerable this cycle, and his 1st District was already […]