Analysis

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2016 Senate Overview: Playing Field Comes Into Focus, But Climate is Unclear

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2016 Senate Overview (November 6, 2015) Alabama – Kansas

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2016 Senate Overview (November 6, 2015) Kentucky – New Mexico

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2016 Senate Overview (November 6, 2015) New York – Wyoming

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Cory Gardner for Veep? Don’t Laugh

Though I took notice of Colorado Sen. Cory Gardner’s endorsement of Sen. Marco Rubio for president, I didn’t immediately think about Gardner as a possible running mate for Rubio — until a CQ Roll Call colleague dropped that pearl of wisdom in my lap. But there are plenty of reasons why Gardner needs to be […]

What Does Bevin’s Victory in Kentucky Mean for Vitter’s Chances?

Matt Bevin’s victory in the Kentucky governor’s race is yet another sobering reminder that polling is a risky business. And for some Republicans, Kentucky could be a glimmer of hope for GOP Sen. David Vitter’s gubernatorial bid in Louisiana. Bevin’s victory wasn’t the political shockwave on par with Eric Cantor’s primary loss in 2014, but […]

Fiorina Has No Clear Lane to GOP Nomination

Carly Fiorina is popular among Republicans, both nationally and in Iowa. And yet, when those same Republicans are asked to name their preferred candidate for president, they generally don’t select her. Why? Is it simply, as some have suggested, that Republicans don’t want to vote for a woman, or that she isn’t getting enough attention […]

Don’t Blame Gerrymandering for GOP Civil War

Blame the earmark ban or Republican leaders. Blame Ted Cruz or even Justin Bieber. But don’t blame gerrymandering for the fighting in the House. As Republicans labor through replacing Speaker John A. Boehner, bemoaning redistricting has become a common refrain in explaining the GOP civil war. “The very strategy that cemented the party’s House majority […]

Cruz and Jindal Wait Impatiently for Their Chances

Bobby Jindal and Ted Cruz continue to plug away in Iowa, far back from the front-runners. But both are well aware that if Ben Carson turns out to be little more than Herman Cain, a political outsider who briefly sat atop the 2012 field, each of them could have his own moment. Cruz and Jindal […]

Why the Next Month Is Critical for Bush

It’s still more than three months before the Iowa caucuses, but the next four weeks are crucial for former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush, who started with the kinds of political assets that led many to regard him as the front-runner in the GOP race. More than 10 months after Bush announced he would be forming […]