Analysis

4240 Results

Predicting the Future and Other Delusions

Barry Ritholtz, a financial planner and asset manager, writes a regular column in The Washington Post’s business section. I read him religiously, and his last column of 2015, on financial prognosticators, offered important observations for anyone interested in politics, sports or Wall Street. I include all three subjects because they have so much in common. […]

Ted Cruz Might Not Need Trump Supporters

Texas Sen. Ted Cruz is poised to absorb Donald Trump’s supporters when the billionaire exits the race for the GOP presidential nomination, according to one of the campaign’s most common narratives. But how many Trump supporters are open to supporting another candidate? The quickest analysis of the Republican race divides candidates into distinct establishment and […]

Steve Israel Retirement Sets Up GOP Takeover Opportunity

Former Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee Chairman Steve Israel spent years defending competitive seats open seats, but now his retirement leaves one behind. Israel announced on Tuesday that he would not seek re-election in November after 16 years in the House. His retirement wasn’t a complete surprise, considering there isn’t an empty rung on the Democratic […]

Will ‘Electability’ Sink Trump?

Most national polls show Republican frontrunner Donald Trump trailing likely Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton and faring worse than other GOP hopefuls against her. That raises an obvious question: Could doubts about Trump’s strength in a general election derail his bid for the Republican nomination, or would GOP caucus attendees and primary voters simply ignore […]

Indiana Senate: Is Stutzman Still the Club for Growth’s Guy?

The Club for Growth endorsed GOP Rep. Marlin Stutzman in the Indiana Senate race this summer, but the congressman was a glaring omission from the anti-tax group’s end-of-the-year fundraising email. The email from Club President David McIntosh highlighted House candidates Jim Banks of Indiana and Jim Duncan of North Carolina, GOP Rep. Ron DeSantis (who […]

Virginia 5: Hurt to Retire, Leaves Potentially Competitive Seat

Three-term GOP Rep. Robert Hurt announced his retirement, leaving behind a potentially competitive open seat in Virginia.  The 5th District includes Charlottesville but runs south to the border with North Carolina.  On one hand, the district is competitive. Democrat Tom Perriello defeated GOP Rep. Virgil Goode by 727 votes in 2008 and Barack Obama only […]

New York 22: Hanna Retirement Puts Seat At Risk for Republicans

Moderate Republican Rep. Richard Hanna of New York plans to announce his retirement, leaving a competitive open seat for Republicans to defend. The news, which was first reported early Sunday morning by The Post-Standard in Syracuse, shouldn’t come as a complete surprise. He is a 64-year-old father of two kids under the age of 10 […]

Why House Races Still Matter (Even in Safe Districts)

The media is laser focused on Donald Trump and the presidential race and any scraps of attention are given to the fight for the Senate majority, while House races are deemed irrelevant. But even though the majority is not in imminent danger, there are at least three reasons to pay attention to House races. 1. […]

Colorado Senate: Republicans Waiting for Challenger To Emerge

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Pennsylvania House: Democrats Searching for Key Contenders

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