Analysis

4240 Results

Few Surprises (and One Likely New Member) In Early House Primary Results

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Illinois 15: Shimkus Escapes Primary Challenge With Decisive Victory in Downstate District

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Candidate Conversation: Geraldine Thompson (D)

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Candidate Conversation: Monica Vernon (D)

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Candidate Conversation: Angie Craig (DFL)

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Candidate Conversation: Mark Hunt (D)

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John Kasich’s Utterly Strange, Bizarre Campaign

If you like John Kasich, it's time to celebrate! The Ohio governor finally won a primary – his home state’s. Of course, he flopped in last week's other contests, ending the evening with almost two dozen fewer delegates than Sen. Marco Rubio, who exited the GOP race. Kasich’s campaign has bordered on the bizarre. He […]

Millennials Raising Money to Run, But Can They Win?

Millennials have a reputation for being lazy, but a bipartisan crop of young congressional candidates is raising hundreds of thousands of dollars, which they’ll need, considering they are taking on the political establishment. Considering the average age of a House member is 57, both parties could use some fresher faces to promote to voters. California […]

Outsider Candidate Claims Boehner Seat in Ohio Special

Anti-establishment conservatives couldn’t get one of their own elected Speaker of the House after John A. Boehner decided to call it quits, but they are on the cusp of taking over his western Ohio congressional district.  That’s roughly the same lede from our deep-dive of the race, “Ohio 8: The Quiet Fight to Succeed Boehner,” […]

Trump’s Electoral Math Doesn’t Add Up

Republican front-runner Donald Trump is asked repeatedly about polls showing him trailing Hillary Clinton badly in the general election. He always says the same thing: other polls show him winning, and Clinton will be very easy to defeat. Is Trump merely blowing smoke, or could he re-draw the partisan landscape and win in November? Could […]