Analysis

4240 Results

Even More Reason to Watch the House in 2018

Barely ten days into the Donald Trump Administration, I wrote that the new president’s “fast start” made it likely the House of Representatives would be “in play” in 2018. Some, I’m sure, thought that suggestion ridiculous. After all, state legislatures have generally minimized the number of competitive congressional districts around the country, making large Democratic […]

Georgia 6 Special: Club for Growth to Air TV Ad Against Handel

Club for Growth Action is poised to air a television against initial GOP frontrunner Karen Handel beginning Wednesday in Georgia’s 6th District special election, according to a release first obtained by Inside Elections.  It’s a $250,000 ad buy on Atlanta cable, according to a Club source, and scheduled to run through the initial April 18 […]

Minnesota 1: Walz’s Gov Run Creates Vulnerable Open Seat

It could be a rough round of midterm elections for Republicans next year but DFL Rep. Tim Walz gave them a little gift by vacating Minnesota’s 1st District in order to run for governor.  The six-term congressman won re-election narrowly, 50.3-49.6 percent, last year in a race that received little national attention. But Donald Trump […]

What I Learned About Polling From a Georgia House Survey

I was initially skeptical of a recent poll in the special election for Georgia’s 6th District, not because it utilized Interactive Voice Response, or IVR, technology or because it was conducted by a GOP-friendly firm or because a Democratic candidate was leading in a Republican-leaning district. But it only gave respondents the option to choose […]

Georgia 6 Special:Looking for a Fight

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New Jersey Senate: Menendez Heading to Trial and Re-Election?

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Montana At-Large Special: Land of Second Chances

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Ohio 16: Renacci Leaves Seat Open to Run for Governor

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Looking for Clues From a 2005 Special Election in Ohio

Are Democrats in the early stages of their own tea party movement? It’s one of the biggest outstanding questions at this point in the cycle. But as we collectively look at the past for prologue, I don’t understand why our memories only go back eight years. There was a time, not too long ago, when […]

Senate Landscape Not as Rosy for the GOP as It Once Was

If Hillary Clinton had won the 2016 presidential election, the GOP would now be headed to a dramatic 6-8 seat Senate gain next year, maybe even more, if history is any guide. But with Donald Trump in the White House, Republican prospects are much less certain. That doesn’t mean the GOP can’t or won’t have […]