Analysis

4274 Results

Nebraska 2: Without Bacon, Are Republicans Cooked?

JUN 30, 2025

Don Bacon’s decision not to seek re-election upends the race for his Omaha, Nebraska-based district, which is the most Democratic seat currently held by a Republican. Vice President Kamala Harris finished ahead of President Donald Trump in the 2nd District by 4 points, 51-47 percent. Bacon, a genial Air Force veteran and outspoken member of the GOP’s more…

North Carolina Senate: Tillis Decision Creates Open Seat

by Nathan Gonzales

JUN 29, 2025

In the face of opposition from President Donald Trump, GOP Sen. Thom Tillis announced he will not seek re-election in 2026. The senator’s decision doesn’t change the overall Senate battleground, but it makes the seat more vulnerable to a Democratic takeover without an incumbent. After Tillis declined to support the so-called “one big beautiful bill,” Trump threatened to…

Illinois Senate: Race of Three, Who Will It Be?

by Jacob Rubashkin

JUN 20, 2025

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Alabama Senate: Put Me in Coach

by Jacob Rubashkin

JUN 20, 2025

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Report Shorts (June 20, 2025)

by Jacob Rubashkin

JUN 20, 2025

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New Jersey Governor: Sherrill and Ciattarelli Were Born to Run

by Jacob Rubashkin

JUN 12, 2025

It was a chalky night in New Jersey as the frontrunners for the Democratic and Republican gubernatorial nominations won comfortable victories over their many opponents. Democratic Rep. Mikie Sherrill and former GOP state Assemblyman Jack Ciattarelli were the favorites to secure their parties’ nominations in the Garden State in Tuesday’s primary contests. Now they face a five-month sprint…

Missouri 2: Cardinal Pitcher Adam Wainwright Recruited to Challenge Ann Wagner

by Jacob Rubashkin

JUN 9, 2025

A recent poll in Missouri’s 2nd District tested former St. Louis Cardinals pitcher Adam Wainwright in a potential congressional match-up against GOP Rep. Ann Wagner. The suburban district isn’t currently among the races rated as competitive by Inside Elections, but an out-of-the-box Democratic candidate such as Wainwright would have the potential to draw attention and resources to the…

The Congressional Baseball Game is Likely Republican

by Nathaniel Rakich

JUN 9, 2025

Greg Steube may not be not the most famous member of the House of Representatives; he hasn’t faced a serious challenge in Florida’s deep-red 17th District since 2018, and he doesn’t serve in Republican leadership or chair any committees. But he still has one important claim to fame in Washington: He’s the reigning most valuable player of the…