Analysis

4239 Results

(Mostly) Political One-Liners: Hair in Montana Ads, Let’s Remember Candidates from Kentucky

Arizona’s 8th District Special (a): The House majority was in play before the special election and it’s in play after the special election (and more thoughts in the aftermath of the race). Arizona’s 8th District Special (b): Two months ago, we changed our rating from Solid Republican to Likely Republican and based on Lesko’s 5-point […]

Nebraska Senate: How Vulnerable is Deb Fischer?

Nebraska has been dubbed a “sleeper” Senate race and rated as competitive by some handicappers. House Democrats just came close to winning a special election in a congressional district President Donald Trump won by 21 points, so how vulnerable is GOP Sen. Deb Fischer? At a minimum, the senator faces a spirited challenge from Lincoln […]

9 Thoughts After the Arizona 8 Special Election

By Nathan L. Gonzales and Leah Askarinam  The Associated Press declared Republican Debbie Lesko the winner in Arizona’s 8th District special election. It’s late. Let’s do this with bullet points. The House majority was in play before the Arizona results and the House majority is in play after the Arizona results. Nearly two months ago, […]

(Mostly) Political One-Liners: BonChon, Accessible Campaigns, and Future of Tackle Football

“Accessible” Attacks: Three Democratic candidates recently compared and contrasted their accessibility to the incumbents they are challenging, but neither Ken Harbaugh (OH-07) nor Dean Phillips (MN-03) nor Elissa Slotkin (MI-08) appear to have a working phone number on their campaign websites. Bonchon Bust: The previously infallible Korean fried chicken establishment made a critical mistake by […]

Trump Numbers Are Up. And Down. But Really Unchanged.

New national polls show voters are more upbeat about President Donald Trump’s performance and more pessimistic about the Democrats’ chances of taking back the House. Or not. An April 8-11 Washington Post-ABC News poll showed Trump’s job approval rating at 40 percent, while 56 percent disapproved of his performance. An April 8-11 NBC News/Wall Street […]

2018 Senate Overview: Two Americas

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Senate Overview (April 20, 2018): Arizona – Maine

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Senate Overview (April 20, 2018): Maryland – Ohio

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Senate Overview (April 20, 2018): Pennsylvania – Wyoming

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Wisconsin 1: Republicans Forced to Defend Ryan Open Seat

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