2006 Ballot Measures: A National Scorecard

By the numbers, 2006 will have more initiatives on the ballot than any year except for 1996 and 1914. Here is a rundown of what voters will be puzzling over in the voting booth on Election Day.

SOCIAL ISSUES

Once again, some of the hottest issues on the ballot this year address social issues. The headliner is the pro-choice measure that would repeal the South Dakota legislature’s shot across the bow of Roe v. Wade. But pro-life groups are playing offense in both California and Oregon with parental notification initiatives. Other divisive social issues on the ballot this fall include stem cell research, affirmative action and the death penalty. And same-sex marriage bans have returned; while most will pass handily, supporters of same-sex marriage hold out hope they can block Wisconsin’s measure while also passing a domestic-partnerships measure in Colorado. One surprise this year: smoking bans. Voters in at least two and possibly three states will choose between two competing no-smoking measures, one backed by health advocates and the other backed by industry.

Abortion

Stem cell research

Affirmative action

Same-sex marriage

Smoking restrictions

Death penalty

Animal welfare and hunting

Gambling

Drug legalization

HUMAN RESOURCES

Liberals see minimum-wage hikes as their answer to same-sex marriage bans as an energizer of the base. Most if not all should pass easily, but questions remain about how much of a boost these measures will provide liberal candidates elsewhere on the ballot. In the meantime, considering the national outcry about immigration, surprisingly few immigration-related measures will be on the ballot this fall, and what there is tends to be fairly narrow-bore.

Minimum wage

Immigration

TAXES AND SPENDING

Voters in at least three states will weigh tight spending restrictions for legislators, but that’s far fewer states considering such measures than anti-taxers had wanted going into 2006. (A number of similar measures were thrown off the ballot by judges.) In the meantime, voters in several states will weigh tax hikes on tobacco products. And a wide range of tax breaks and spending proposals will be on the ballot, the most interesting of which may be the bid to end the estate tax in Washington state.

TABOR restrictions

Tobacco taxes and settlement funds

Other taxes and spending
A wide array of tax and spending measures will be on the ballot; here are just a few of special interest:

EDUCATION

It’s a big year for education spending on the ballot, with most measures set to increase what’s being spent. Competing initiatives in Colorado will be worth watching; a conservative measure requires 65 percent of school funding to be spent in the classroom, while a measure placed by the Democratic legislature offers a somewhat more flexible alternative.

Education spending

LAND USE

For ballot measures in 2006, the signature issue may be land use. Voters in eight states will be asked to curb the use of eminent domain for private purposes – a relatively non-controversial question. Much more divisive, however, is whether landowners should be paid for development restrictions placed on their landholdings, or else freed of those development restrictions. Victories on just a couple of the more far-reaching measures would be a huge win for property-rights backers (who have likely benefited from voter confusion over the two types of measures) as well as a huge blow for environmentalists.

Eminent domain only

Eminent domain plus property takings

Other land use

HEALTH CARE

After being a staple of ballot measures in recent election cycles, health care is the incredible shrinking issue of 2006. Only one measure, an Oregon proposal on prescription drugs, has made the ballot this year.

Health Care

BUSINESS AND INFRASTRUCTURE

Pro-renewable energy measures are a growth area after a similar measure passed last year in Colorado. Will high energy prices lead voters to pull the lever for “yes”? Also, pay attention to a cell-phone tax cut in South Dakota and an Oregon measure, backed by a left-right coalition, to prevent insurers from using credit scores. If either succeeds, the idea could spread nationally.

Energy

Business and labor regulation

Transportation

Other infrastructure

Insurance

LEGAL AFFAIRS

A conservative backlash against judges has spawned several initiatives to curb the judiciary, most notably in South Dakota, where a measure would open up judges and other government officials to being sued over decisions they’ve made.

Judges

Other jurisprudence

GOVERNMENT AFFAIRS

The Jack Abramoff scandal in Washington has had reverberations outside the Beltway, with several states set to vote on measures to stiffen ethics rules. And as usual, a plethora of voting-related measures pepper the ballot in many states.

Government ethics

Voting and elections

Initiatives about initiatives

Legislator salaries

Term limits

Redistricting

Removes obsolete language

Other government operations

Sources: Initiative and Referendum Institute; National Conference of State Legislatures; Ballot Initiative Strategy Center; Rothenberg Political Report research.

Louis Jacobson is the deputy editor of Roll Call and has covered ballot initiatives each cycle since 1994. He also handicaps the 50 state legislatures for the Rothenberg Political Report.

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